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ABP News- Nielsen exit poll for Delhi and Madhya Pradesh

04 December 2013 09:25 pm | Indiantelevision.com Team

 

ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll

BJP likely to get majority with 37 seats in Delhi Assembly polls: ABP News-Nielsen exit poll.

Party

Actual vote % in the 2008 assembly elections

Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections

Vote Share% as per the Opinion poll in Nov '13

Seats as per the Exit poll in Nov '13

INC

40.46

41

29

16

BJP

36.76

24

33

37

AAP

 

 

28

15

IND & Others

22.78

5

10

2

Total

100

70

100

70

In the ABP News-Neilson Exit Poll for the 2013 Delhi Assembly elections, polling for which ended today, BJP set to win with full majority with 37 seats and a vote share of 33 per cent in the 70-member house. As per the exit poll, Congress likely to get 16 seats with 29 per cent vote share; Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP likely to get 15 seats with a vote share of 28 per cent.

The poll shows BJP getting a clear majority with 37 seats. In the 2008 Assembly polls, BJP had managed 24 seats. BJP got a vote share of 36.76 per cent in the 2008 polls as compared to the 33 per cent this year. Kejriwal’s AAP appears to have dented the vote share of Congress which got 41 seats in 2008 with a vote share of 40.46 per cent as compared to 29 per cent in 2013.

As per the ABP News-Nielsen exit poll, three-time chief minister Sheila Dikshit might lose as Kejriwal’s AAP likely to bag all three seats in Central Delhi.

According to the ABP News-Nielsen exit poll, BJP likely to sweep around 14 seats in the 18-seat zone of North Delhi. Congress and AAP to get two seats each.
Congress likely to get 3 seats in the 4-seat zone of Old Delhi. As per the poll, there might be a tie between Congress and BJP with 6 seats each in the16-seat zone of East Delhi.
BJP likely to lead with 8 seats in the 12-seat zone of South Delhi; AAP to get 2 seats. In the 17-seat zone of West Delhi, BJP likely to get 8 seats, Congress and AAP to get 4 seats each.

The ABP News-Neilson Exit poll was conducted across 50 Assembly constituencies and 12033 respondents were interviewed.
The confidence interval (margin of error) assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ±5%.

ABP News-Nielsen Exit Poll

BJP likely to make a hat-trick with 138 seats in Madhya Pradesh: ABP News-Nielsen Exit Polls

In the ABP News-Neilson Exit Poll for the 2013 Madhya Pradesh Assembly elections, polling for which ended today, BJP set to make a hat-trick with 138 seats and a vote share of 39 per cent in Madhya Pradesh.

Party

Actual vote % in the 2008 assembly elections

Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections

Vote Share% as per the Exit/post poll in Nov '13

Seats as per the Exit/post poll in Nov '13

INC

32.1

66

33

80

BJP

37.9

148

39

138

BSP

9.1

7

9

6

BJSH

4.9

5

 

 

IND + Others

16.1

4

19

6

Total

100

230

100

230

As per the ABP News-Nielsen exit poll, Congress is likely to get 80 seats with a vote share of 33 per cent in the 230-member house. BSP to get around 6 seats with a vote share of 9 per cent. Others to get a vote share of 19 per cent with 6 seats in the 230-member house.

BJP got 148 seats and a vote share of 37.9 per cent in the 2008 assembly polls in Madhya Pradesh. INC got 66 seats with a vote share of 32.1 per cent in 2008.

The ABP News-Neilson Exit poll was conducted across 115 Assembly constituencies and 26808 respondents were interviewed.
The confidence interval (margin of error) assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ±5%.

Kaun Banega Mukhyamantri is one of the most popular properties of ABP News which goes live around State assembly elections. Successive Brand Equity tracks have shown that KBM has the highest recall among all election related programming across all News channels. The programme provides viewers with holistic information about the state elections- including Opinion Polls and Exit Polls.

The programme also features popular on-ground debates – Kahiye Netaji – featuring top political personalities.

 
 
 
 
 
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